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Bitcoin: BTC Can Easily Fall Below $3,000 (January 2020)

Bitcoin is showing bullish signs for now after the price found support on the 50 EMA on the 4H time frame having declined below the 38.2% fib extension level at $7,812. At the moment, it seems ready to shoot higher towards $8,000. It will face some resistance at $7,961 but if it breaks past that level then we can see a rally towards $8,200 in the near future. Traders need to realize at this point that the rising wedge we see on the BTC/USD chart is now very close to being broken. The balance of probabilities indicates that it will be broken to the downside leading to further downside in Bitcoin (BTC) and the rest of the cryptocurrency market.

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The price of the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, Ethereum, may be down as much as 90% from its all-time high price of over $1,400, but ICO investors are still up over 400x on their initial investment. Could this suggest that Ethereum has a lot more room to fall, despite seeing most of its 2017 bull run gains evaporate already? Ethereum today dominates the cryptocurrency market alongside Bitcoin and Ripple. The big three are the first investment choices for those considering exploring the world of crypto assets. Related Reading | Ethereum Fractal Suggests Altcoins Could Soon Outperform BitcoinBut compared to Bitcoin, Ethereum is relatively young, born from an initial coin offering back in 2015. At the time of the altcoin project’s release, it was available to early ICO investors for just 30 cents per ETH. At today’s prices, as one crypto analyst points out, ICO investors are still up as much as 400x on their initial investment, suggesting that although Ethereum’s price has declined significantly over the last two years, the earliest investors could continue to cash out with extreme gains, bringing the price of the number two crypto asset by market cap even lower and lower. Ethereum ballooned to an all-time high price of $1,400 at the height of the crypto bubble due to the ICO boom. Ethereum itself was born from an ICO, but later became the de-facto crowdfunding platform for launching new ICOs as ERC-20 tokens. Ethereum was bought up at any price for investors to quickly trade in exchange for early access to altcoin presales, hoping to get in at the ground floor of the next Bitcoin, and dreaming of striking it rich. But those dreams quickly turned into nightmares, as ICO investors quickly realized they had bought into a fly-by-night coin offering next to no use case or utility, and whose value had started to decline sharply once interest in the crypto industry waned. ICO investors began to unload altcoins in droves, driving the price of nearly every altcoin across the market down. Even Ethereum, saw up to 90% of its gains eliminated in the selloff. Related Reading | The Worst Is Yet To Come For Altcoin Market CapMuch like those early ICO investors who bought into hyped new coins during the ICO boom of 2017, early Ethereum investors are now left with a decision: continue to hold in hopes that Ethereum’s price reaches another all-time high, or cash out now while there are still gains left to secure. If Ethereum continues to fall, even the earliest ICO investors may begin to capitulate and take what little profit is left remaining.

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Bitcoin risks a fall below $10,000

When we drew the rising wedge on the 4H chart for BTC/USD, it was just about to shoot up as we expected. It shot up soon afterwards and hit the top of the rising wedge. It then traded sideways and eventually declined well below it. Currently, it is trading below the 50 EMA on the 4H chart having closed below it. We have seen that a similar close in the recent past led to further downside. Therefore, we expect that the same could happen this time. If we take a look at the weekly chart for BTC/USD, we can see that it formed a gravestone doji and is now likely to form another doji before its eventual decline. Now, the pattern that it has formed is something we have seen numerous times in many financial markets.

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Why is the crypto market going down?
Bad Press: public perception of the currency is affected by headlines of crashes as well as negative statements by financial institutions questioning the validity of the currency. One example of this effect is the event in 2017 where the CEO of JP Morgan threatened to fire any worker that invests in bitcoin in his investment bank. The digital currency suffered a 6% loss in value immediately.

Inadequate security: for bitcoin to gain stability, merchants, and consumers need a safe spot to store funds. Sadly, security issues are affecting the trust as well as bitcoin use. Some notable events happened last year when two exchanges were robbed of their funds. Cyber thieves have also stolen lots of money from crypto exchanges.

Stringent government regulation: bitcoin is decentralized and has not central authority regulating it. This allows users to avoid
regular payment processes. It is attractive to lots of users because it means zero inflation or the central It also attracts cyber thieves who love stealing without leaving a digital footprint. Governments have refused to adopt the currency because financial institutions

and banks are concerned about its ability to promote laundering or commit crimes. Earlier this year, the finance minister of India said cryptocurrencies would not be recognized as a legal tender by the country. It will also discourage the adoption because of the

widespread use in different illegal activities. Also, facebook requires crypto and bitcoin advertisers to pass through a stringent approval process. It also banned ads for initial coin offering.

Delay in the ruling of bitcoin ETF by SEC: experts also believe that the approval of this fund could cause BTC value to skyrocket. The application was previously rejected due to the volatility of the digital currency. The delay has affected other cryptos as well, not just BTC.

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He further adds that this is actually a lesson for the cryptocurrency community. With the increased safety as well as precautions, it will be easier for the cryptocurrency experts to learn from these mistakes. Moreover, the exchanges will also be able to learn from these mistakes which will ensure that the cryptocurrency community becomes much more secure.

According to him, Bitcoin will be trading around $ 40,000. He further added that there will be a significant amount of volatility before Bitcoin actually hits those levels. It seems like, many of the investors, as well as cryptocurrency enthusiasts, are actually positive about Bitcoin in this very year. The problem is that with a significant fall already seen, most of the retail investors are not pumping money into Bitcoin. This is the reason why the movement is not that strong currently when it comes to Bitcoins
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