LIVE: The Bitcoin Whipsaw – and how to play it!

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#Bitcoin #BitcoinWhipsaw #BitcoinVolatility #HODL #DCA #TimeTheMarket

Bitcoin Whipsaw

0:00 Introduction
1:01 BItcoin Investor Fear
1:39 Yearly Gains in 10 Days
2:16 Volatility and Bitcoin
4:00 S&P500 Top 10 Days
5:24 S&P500 Top 10 Days
5:40 Volatility and Bitcoin
5:59 8 Green Candles 10K Candle
7:44 BTC Top Days
8:03 BTC Top Days Excl 2 Outliers
8:25 BTC VIX All Days
C19
8:56 145 days with greater than 10% return over 11 years.
10:02 21 days with greater than 10% return over last 1000 days.
“The reality is, it’s time in the market, not timing the market,”

The opinions expressed in the video are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security or investment product. It is only intended to provide education about the financial industry.

BItcoin Investor Fear Some quotes:
“It is going to 20K”
“I will sell now and buy in later“
“It has gone up 11,000 in a week so I am going to take profit and get back in at 30K
“My buddy told me it was a bull trap!“
“Bitcoin is too volatile“

Yearly Gains in 10 Days

Volatility and Bitcoin

S&P500 Top 10 Days
Volatility and Bitcoin – Volatility is measured by sampling how far away Bitcoin’s price goes from the price at a fixed point in time. … Bitcoin’s daily volatility formula is actually the standard deviation of Bitcoin’s price. The standard deviation is calculated as follows = √(Bitcoin’s price variance). Big VIX times are 300 days in 2017 when BTC went from 780 to $20K ie up 2400%

S&P500 Top 10 Days
If an investor missed out on the 10 best days (for S&P 500) each year – annualized return drops to 5.4% from 9.2%.

Volatility and Bitcoin – Volatility is measured by sampling how far away Bitcoin’s price goes from the price at a fixed point in time.

8 Green Candles 10K Candle
Wicks here are imp to note on this daily chart and wicks are designed to kill margined longs and 8 days of green kills the shorts causing the mother of all short squeezes this year

BTC Top Days
2.26.2014 336.75%

BTC Top Days Excl 2 Outliers
Top days VIX went from 20% to 10%

BTC VIX All Days
C19
VIX is falling, Note March 12th Date – worst dip we have had.

145 days with greater than 10% return over 11 years.
# of Days with over 10% gains over 4030 Days
3.5% or 12.775 Days/Yr
Avg Return 19.97%

21 days with greater than 10% return over last 1000 days.
# of Days with over 10% Gains over last 1000 Days
2.1% or 7.6 Days/Yr
Avg Return 12.51%

VIX is falling, Note March 12th Date – worst dip we have had.
103 days with greater than 10% losses over 11 years.
# of Days with 10% Losses over 4030 Days
2.5% or 9 Days
Avg Return 17.74%

It’s not 10 days…it’s 7 days!
“The reality is, it’s time in the market, not timing the market,”

Summary
ANTIFUD: Bitcoin is no longer too volatile
Bitcoin is less volatile than 29% of S&P500
Bitcoin is becoming less volatile
Avg returns are far less than they were in the old days top days over last 1000 days is 12% versus 20% over last 11 years
7 days is when you need to be in the market and 4 days when you need to be out if you are a market timer

Peter Lynch
“The reality is, it’s time in the market, not timing the market,”

Want more?
(you know what to do!)

Comments

Nathan Mori says:

I cannot believe this content is free. You’re a legend. Thank you.

Carol says:

what is "invitay" not sure of the spelling, thanks

Bill Andersen says:

Stop pumping and dumping bitcoin. We'd all be rich by now if the price wasn't so fn volatile. The only reason institutional investors aren't all in board is because of VOLATILITY. Just buy and hold if you actually get what bitcoin is. All the sleezy get rich quick people delay mass adoption.

xNiiiCoLaSx says:

The comfortable box pertinently decay because parentheses naturally own unto a fast roast. gabby, temporary rise

Nageswara Reddy Chintakuntla says:

What an amazing information James. Always amazed on the details and precise analysis you bring to your followers. I bet we won't get this kind of value from anybody else on internet 💯

denise dryland says:

Love your summary, most helpful being displayed.

Cece D says:

I think BitBoys Chanel is deleted by YouTube ?

Ben Hamilton says:

Thanks James for all your hard work very informative as always. Love from Australia!

MO From AZ says:

yes, plz analyze Chilez!

Mustafa khan says:

Collaboration with Lark Davis?

Alexander Peng My, PhD says:

Thank you very much for sharing your knowledge.

Lee Abbey says:

I love your content

Gray Walsh says:

James you are a legend..thank you for all your work..very kind ..love your gentleness

Bradley Dawson says:

The only comment from James i have disagreed with EVER…I put Roth money in Itrust Capital for tax free gains in the US. You can also trade within the account with no tax penalties. It's a 1% fee for buying an $29.99 per month. Pretty low with respect for tax free gains. Love the channel ❤ James you are SOLID! Thank you so much:)

Dunravin says:

Why wait for regulators to untie the Tether? The people could run on them and cash out for dollar which would sort the problem in about 48 hours

rgpsx1 says:

James says, “ this is not investment advice but, back the USD dump truck up and buy in to BTC in strength! “. James don’t roast me I’m a capitalist.. 😉

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